QUESTION 43 Estimating variable consideration — performance bonus with two outcomes Contractor enters into a contract to construct a manufacturing facility for Auto Manufacturer. The contract price is $ 250 million plus a $ 25 million award fee if the facility is completed by a specified date. The contract is expected to take three years to complete. Contractor has a long history of constructing similar facilities. The award fee is binary (that is, there are only two possible outcomes) and is payable in full upon completion of the facility. Contractor will receive none of the $ 25 million fee if the facility is not completed by the specified date. Contractor believes, based on its experience, that it is 95% likely that the contract will be completed successfully and in advance of the target date. How should Contractor determine the transaction price?